Political Stability
17 reports
Senate in the Center of Political Intrigue, Civil Disturbance
The Senate has tightened security after receiving reported threats from the NBI amid ongoing leadership disputes, protests, and high-profile legal cases involving senators.
ANALYSIS: Making Sense of the May 13 Senate Shootout
The May 13 Senate shootout highlighted escalating tensions over the ICC warrant against Senator Ronald “Bato” Dela Rosa, exposing security risks tied to his possible arrest while stopping short of triggering broader political instability or institutional breakdown in the Philippines.
House Impeaches Vice President Duterte For the Second Time, While Senate Installs Pro-Duterte Chamber Leadership
Vice President Sara Duterte is impeached by the House of Representatives anew, but a major reset in the Senate might secure the Vice President an acquittal – assuming that the trial proceeds in the first place.
ICC Publicly Releases Arrest Warrant Against Senator Ronald Dela Rosa
The ICC publicly confirmed its arrest warrant against Senator Ronald “Bato” Dela Rosa over drug war-related crimes against humanity charges. Tensions remain high around the Senate complex as supporters and opposition groups mobilize amid uncertainty over possible arrest operations.
House Set to Vote Once Again on the Impeachment of Vice President Duterte
The House of Representatives Justice Committee unanimously approved Articles of Impeachment against Vice President Sara Duterte. A plenary vote is set for May 11. If approved, a Senate trial will commence, where 2028 election alliances will heavily dictate the final political outcome.
ICC Confirms Charges Against Former President Rodrigo Duterte
The International Criminal Court has confirmed crimes against humanity charges against former President Rodrigo Duterte. This move to trial signals prolonged legal proceedings and increases the risk of arrest for his top allies, potentially impacting Philippine political stability.
ICC Concludes Former President Rodrigo Duterte’s Confirmation of Charges Hearing; Former Military Personnel Accuse Philippine Government of “Funding” Domestic ICC Activities
The ICC concluded a confirmation of charges hearing against former President Duterte for crimes against humanity. While Duterte waived his appearance, the court identified several co-perpetrators. Meanwhile, some former military personnel alleged illicit government funding of the ICC.
Impeachment Complaint Against President Marcos Insufficient in Form and Substance, New Complaint Filed Against Vice President Duterte
Impeachment efforts against President Marcos Junior have effectively ceased after a House panel dismissal. Conversely, Vice President Sara Duterte faces a third complaint alleging the misuse of six hundred twelve million pesos, which may threaten her future political eligibility.
Status Quo Holds in Senate As Blue Ribbon Committee Report Fuels Rumours of Senate Presidency Coup
A rumored Senate leadership coup against President Sotto failed following private negotiations. The unrest was triggered by corruption investigations and committee shifts, though a potential power-sharing agreement with Senator Legarda may signal a leadership change before the term ends.
Impeachment Complaints Filed Against Both President Marcos and Vice President Duterte
In a historic move, impeachment complaints have been filed against both President Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte. While the House found the complaints against the President sufficient in form, new filings against the Vice President focus on alleged misuse of confidential funds.
Impeachment Complaints Filed Against President Marcos
Impeachment complaints against President Marcos Jr. were filed in the House but face low odds of advancing due to strong administration support. The allegations center on the ICC, drug use claims, and budget corruption, yet the developments may still dampen investor confidence in the country.
ANALYSIS: A Deeper Look Into the 2026 National Budget
President Marcos Jr. signed the 2026 national budget, which features a massive cut to the DPWH and a significant increase for education. Despite efforts at transparency, the budget remains controversial due to remaining unprogrammed funds, sparking petitions for judicial review.
Assessment on Political Stability
Infrastructure corruption scandals have triggered leadership changes and public protests. While minority groups call for resignation, a change in administration is unlikely without significant military or broad public support.
2050 Philippines Strategic Outlook
PSA Intelligence offers a forward-looking assessment of the nation’s geopolitical, economic, and sociopolitical trajectory over the next quarter century.
Malacañang Confirms Former President Rodrigo Duterte’s Arrest
The Philippine government has confirmed the arrest of former president Rodrigo Duterte in relation to ongoing investigations against him before the International Criminal Court.
Unconfirmed Reports of an Arrest Warrant against Former President Rodrigo Duterte
Unconfirmed reports alleging an impending arrest operation against former president Rodrigo Duterte prompted by the International Criminal Court are circulating in social media and political circles.
Raid in Search of Apollo Quiboloy at KOJC Compound, Davao City
Law enforcement have engaged in a multiple-day armed operation in search of televangelist Apollo Quiboloy at his church compound in Davao City.