PSA Intelligence Reports

Latest Developments and Government Responses to the Middle East Conflict

The Philippine government implemented a fuel price rollback and tax suspensions following a brief ceasefire. However, the breakdown of United States and Iran negotiations and the Strait of Hormuz blockade signal imminent price hikes, posing significant risks to enterprise logistics and costs.

Foreign Conflict

The Philippine government announced a significant rollback in domestic fuel prices, effective today. Diesel prices have been reduced at the minimum by PHP 20 (USD 0.33) per liter, while gasoline and kerosene prices have been reduced by PHP 4.43 (USD 0.07) and PHP 8.50 (USD 0.14) per liter, respectively. The amount reduction was computed after global oil prices fell following the ceasefire announcement last April 7. 

Observers note that the price rollback this week will likely be the only downward movement in prices in the next two weeks. Recent developments, primarily the breakdown of peace negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran and continued competition among Asian oil buyers for available fuel, indicate that prices may only further go up in the weeks to come.

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PSA Intelligence: Regional Reporting Capabilities

Our fast-paced intelligence pipeline is driven by a dedicated team of Manila-based security analysts that monitor the Philippine landscape every day. We bring together on-the-ground local insight with large scale data monitoring and cut through the noise to deliver the concise, actionable intelligence that our clients rely on to navigate their risks.

Regular Briefs & Industry Monitors

We provide a weekly digest of key political, economic, and security developments and analysis of their short and long-term impact on the local and regional business environment. Our Industry Monitors deliver regular summaries of key developments in manufacturing, energy, mining, and tourism.

Our Cyber Risks Briefs detail emerging cyberthreats, digital security vulnerabilities, and regulatory shifts, while our Economic Briefs provide macroeconomic snapshots covering inflation, trade markers, and fiscal policy. We also publish Health Risks Briefs tracking local disease statistics and healthcare capacities.

Targeted Crime & Kidnapping Reports

Our teams produce continuous updates and analysis on developing crime and safety trends targeting corporates and staff, ranging from opportunistic petty crime to syndicated criminal activity. This includes deep dives on known modus operandi, suspect profiles, and sociopolitical environments.

Additionally, we monitor Kidnapping Related Incidents in the Philippines, tracking publicly-known abduction cases, motives, victim profiles, and the broader regional developments that influence these threat vectors.

Insurgency, Terrorism, and Civil Unrest

We conduct ongoing analysis of activities of Communist insurgents in the Philippines, including their estimated operational capabilities, regional hotspots, and the progress of government peace processes.

Our coverage extends to Islamist Insurgency and Terrorism in Mindanao, assessing activities not limited to terrorism-related motivations but also criminal, personal, and cultural factors. We provide continuous assessments of political stability, strikes, protests, and broader civil unrest dynamics affecting operational continuity.