Foreign Risk
4 reports
Emerging Chinese Grey-Zone Tactics in the West Philippine Sea
Chinese authorities are diversifying grey-zone tactics, including the first recorded use of flares against aircraft in 2026 and communication signal jamming. Despite these provocations, the Philippine government continues to prioritize diplomatic restraint and maritime cooperation.
ANALYSIS: Notable Incidents in the West Philippine Sea for October – December 2025
Chinese aggression in the West Philippine Sea intensified in late 2025, involving water cannon attacks and information warfare. While the Philippines pursues de-escalation and defense modernization, the 2026 ASEAN chairmanship provides a platform to negotiate a regional Code of Conduct.
Updates on PH Defense: Lithuania Defense Pact Signed, Incoming Navy Destroyers from Japan, US Supercarrier Visits Manila
The Philippines and Lithuania signed a defense pact focusing on cybersecurity, maritime safety, and counter-hybrid threats. Local enterprises should note this expanding security alliance network, which aims to strengthen national cyber defenses against sophisticated state-sponsored threats.
Recommended Reading: Asia in Flux: The U.S., China and the Search for a New Equilibrium
An International Crisis Group report warns that United States and China tensions are driving Indo-Pacific militarization. Philippine enterprises should note risks of unintended escalation as the report urges both nations to end their trade war and reopen diplomacy.