PSA Intelligence Reports

Special Advisory: Current Fuel Situation and Related Disruptions - April 01, 2026

The Philippine government declared a national emergency due to the escalating oil crisis.

Energy Emergency Business Disruptions

Snapshot

Following the declaration of a national energy emergency on March 24, 2026, the Philippines has been gradually increasing its fuel reserves, which now has an average lead time of 50 days. PSA Intelligence emphasizes that these lead times refer to the number of days before replenishments in its fuel reserves can be secured, and not the total number of days before the entire country’s supply of fuel is depleted. As of writing, the Philippine government will more likely be challenged with managing fuel prices than with managing fuel reserves supply. High importation costs, compounded by a weakening Philippine peso against the US Dollar, are prompting public utility vehicles (PUVs) to reduce trips, increase fares, and call for government subsidies, some of which through strikes. Measures such as the MMDA’s carpool guidelines and the “free ride” program in the City of Manila have been proposed to address the gaps in transportation availability. Alongside major fuel supply and transportation adjustments, other developments are emerging, from suspended price hikes for basic goods and fuel theft, to a regional task force established in the Bangsamoro region for fuel concerns.

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The PSA Intelligence team of security and risk analysts monitor thousands of intelligence sources across the Philippines and broader APAC region daily. PSA Intelligence supplies well-known international corporate security operations centers and enterprise risk management teams the reports and data required for their operations.

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Our fast-paced intelligence pipeline is driven by a dedicated team of Manila-based security analysts that monitor the Philippine landscape every day. We bring together on-the-ground local insight with large scale data monitoring and cut through the noise to deliver the concise, actionable intelligence that our clients rely on to navigate their risks.

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