Philippines Weekly Brief: 2026-04-14

Fuel-related crimes are reportedly up in the Philippines amid high prices. The US-Iran ceasefire temporarily lowered domestic oil costs, but further price reduction is unlikely in the next two weeks. Separately, a key NPA regional leader was killed in an encounter in Tboli, South Cotabato.

Safety and Security

Perceived Increase in Fuel-Related Crimes Driven by the Middle East Crisis

PSA Intelligence has observed a relative increase in reported fuel-related crimes in the Philippines like pilferage, siphoning, and bilking, following the escalation of conflict in the Middle East.

Law enforcement personnel recently seized over 65,000 liters of diesel worth PHP 9.75 million (USD 162,828.51) being illegally siphoned out of a barge and into an oil tanker in the Navotas City Fish Port. Those involved in the incident claimed that they were supposed to resell the siphoned fuel. Police officers claimed that this was the first such incident recorded in the area, though Bureau of Customs reports from 2024 state that the Navotas port has been the site of similar modus operandi in the past.

PSA Intelligence Security Analyst Team Inside

The PSA Intelligence team of security and risk analysts monitor thousands of intelligence sources across the Philippines and broader APAC region daily. PSA Intelligence supplies well-known international corporate security operations centers and enterprise risk management teams the reports and data required for their operations.

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PSA Intelligence: Regional Reporting Capabilities

Our fast-paced intelligence pipeline is driven by a dedicated team of Manila-based security analysts that monitor the Philippine landscape every day. We bring together on-the-ground local insight with large scale data monitoring and cut through the noise to deliver the concise, actionable intelligence that our clients rely on to navigate their risks.

Regular Briefs & Industry Monitors

We provide a weekly digest of key political, economic, and security developments and analysis of their short and long-term impact on the local and regional business environment. Our Industry Monitors deliver regular summaries of key developments in manufacturing, energy, mining, and tourism.

Our Cyber Risks Briefs detail emerging cyberthreats, digital security vulnerabilities, and regulatory shifts, while our Economic Briefs provide macroeconomic snapshots covering inflation, trade markers, and fiscal policy. We also publish Health Risks Briefs tracking local disease statistics and healthcare capacities.

Targeted Crime & Kidnapping Reports

Our teams produce continuous updates and analysis on developing crime and safety trends targeting corporates and staff, ranging from opportunistic petty crime to syndicated criminal activity. This includes deep dives on known modus operandi, suspect profiles, and sociopolitical environments.

Additionally, we monitor Kidnapping Related Incidents in the Philippines, tracking publicly-known abduction cases, motives, victim profiles, and the broader regional developments that influence these threat vectors.

Insurgency, Terrorism, and Civil Unrest

We conduct ongoing analysis of activities of Communist insurgents in the Philippines, including their estimated operational capabilities, regional hotspots, and the progress of government peace processes.

Our coverage extends to Islamist Insurgency and Terrorism in Mindanao, assessing activities not limited to terrorism-related motivations but also criminal, personal, and cultural factors. We provide continuous assessments of political stability, strikes, protests, and broader civil unrest dynamics affecting operational continuity.