Communist Insurgency and Terrorism Report – March 2025

In March 2025, PSA Intelligence recorded 14 Communist Insurgency-related violent incidents. At the same month, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. rejected calls to abolish the National Task Force to End Local Communist Armed Conflict (NTF-ELCAC).

Communist Insurgency and Terrorism Report – March 2025

PSA recorded 14 Communist insurgency-related violent incidents in March 2025, noting a slight decrease from the number of recorded incidents in the previous month. The decrease in armed encounters during the month may be attributed to the rebels’ deliberate attempts to evade pursuing military troops, effectively avoiding direct armed confrontations that could lead to potential losses and casualties.

Analysts note that the military continues to receive support from local communities regarding the presence of armed individuals within their areas. Some of the clashes that occurred are the result of patrol operations conducted to verify the presence of rebels allegedly engaged in extortion activities.

In other significant developments this month, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. rejected calls to abolish the National Task Force to End Local Communist Armed Conflict (NTF-ELCAC) as announced by National Security Council (NSC) Assistant Director General Jonathan Malaya on March 27. According to Mr. Malaya, President Marcos was encouraged by the reports and ordered to continue to invest in the success of the NTF-ELCAC.

Additionally, President Marcos ordered an increase of PHP 5 million (USD 87,131) to the Barangay Development Program (BDP) allocation under the NTF-ELCAC. The program, which previously had an allocation of PHP 10 million (USD 174,262) for 780 barangays cleared of NPA presence, was slashed to PHP 2.5 million (USD 43,565) under the General Appropriations Act. President Marcos’ order will increase the allocation to PHP 7.5 million (USD 130,696) per barangay, but officials note that the President intends to restore the PHP 10 million allocation as he believes that the government is making good progress against the Communist insurgency because of programs like the BDP.

PSA Intelligence Security Analyst Team Inside

The PSA Intelligence team of security and risk analysts monitor thousands of intelligence sources across the Philippines and broader APAC region daily. PSA Intelligence supplies well-known international corporate security operations centers and enterprise risk management teams the reports and data required for their operations.

Contact us to for access to our regular risk management reports and data-feeds. Be sure to talk to us about our analyst vetted, reliable data feeds for your AI driven risk management systems too. We have 20+ years of back-data and keep the data acquisition pipelines running so you don't have to.

PSA Intelligence: Regional Reporting Capabilities

Our fast-paced intelligence pipeline is driven by a dedicated team of Manila-based security analysts that monitor the Philippine landscape every day. We bring together on-the-ground local insight with large scale data monitoring and cut through the noise to deliver the concise, actionable intelligence that our clients rely on to navigate their risks.

Regular Briefs & Industry Monitors

We provide a weekly digest of key political, economic, and security developments and analysis of their short and long-term impact on the local and regional business environment. Our Industry Monitors deliver regular summaries of key developments in manufacturing, energy, mining, and tourism.

Our Cyber Risks Briefs detail emerging cyberthreats, digital security vulnerabilities, and regulatory shifts, while our Economic Briefs provide macroeconomic snapshots covering inflation, trade markers, and fiscal policy. We also publish Health Risks Briefs tracking local disease statistics and healthcare capacities.

Targeted Crime & Kidnapping Reports

Our teams produce continuous updates and analysis on developing crime and safety trends targeting corporates and staff, ranging from opportunistic petty crime to syndicated criminal activity. This includes deep dives on known modus operandi, suspect profiles, and sociopolitical environments.

Additionally, we monitor Kidnapping Related Incidents in the Philippines, tracking publicly-known abduction cases, motives, victim profiles, and the broader regional developments that influence these threat vectors.

Insurgency, Terrorism, and Civil Unrest

We conduct ongoing analysis of activities of Communist insurgents in the Philippines, including their estimated operational capabilities, regional hotspots, and the progress of government peace processes.

Our coverage extends to Islamist Insurgency and Terrorism in Mindanao, assessing activities not limited to terrorism-related motivations but also criminal, personal, and cultural factors. We provide continuous assessments of political stability, strikes, protests, and broader civil unrest dynamics affecting operational continuity.